← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Franco Hughes Away Bet Mares Handicap Hurdle
Mr Fox’s call
Poetic Twist
MEDIUM Advised 5/1 Est. 24%
Mr Fox says
Poetic Twist (SR 110, 5/1) is the highest-rated horse in the field by a clear margin and carries a very manageable 11-3 — a 9lb weight advantage over joint topweights Cobra Queen and Samba Train. The form string 22-212 shows consistent placing at a competitive level under Gordon Elliott (15%, 1709 runners), and Jack Kennedy's 20% strike rate from 610 rides is the strongest jockey booking on the card. The slight market drift of 9% is noted but not alarming given Elliott's record of running horses fit and the weight/SR edge here is substantial enough to override it. GoingFit is unknown (?) rather than negative, so there's no confirmed aversion to good ground. Each-way alternative: Gangster Granny. Main danger: Samba Train — Samba Train (SR 104, 5/2) is the market favourite with Mark Walsh booked and a last-time-out win on recent form 614-1U, and while the 7% drift and the unseated rider on the penultimate run give pause, the youth (5yo), recency (11 days), and market confidence make it the most likely alternative winner.
Full result
Winner: Gangster Granny (IRE) at SP 6/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Gangster Granny Fox #3 13/2
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2
Theflyingbee 8/1
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3
Cobra Queen 15/2
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4
Camlin Park 16/1
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5
Joya Del Mar Fox #4 9/1
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6
Poetic Twist Fox #1 5/1
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7
Miss Lia 11/1
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8
Oh Janey 11/1
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9
Samba Train Fox #2 11/4
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Billie Frechette 11/1
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Steps In The Sand -
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Shannon Bank -
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Poetic Twist 5/1 6TH
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2
Samba Train 5/2 9TH
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3
Gangster Granny 13/2 SP 6/1 🏆 WON
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4
Joya Del Mar 9/1 5TH