← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Unibet/EBF Newcomers' "Confined" Restricted Maiden Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D, Which Have Never Run) (EBF Qual) (GBB Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Celtic Storm
MEDIUM Advised 9/2 Est. 26%
Mr Fox says
Celtic Storm (SR 150, 9/2) combines a top-tier SR with the strongest market signal in the field — a 13% inward move from opening — alongside a trainer (Richard Hughes, 13% strike rate) and jockey (Pat Dobbs, 16% strike rate) combination that suggests genuine stable confidence. Find Your Fire shares the same SR of 150 but its even more dramatic 37% market move inward makes it the clear yard #1 for Stuart Williams, and Celtic Storm's unattached market move therefore reflects independent intelligence about its readiness. In a field of all debutants where SR and market movement are the primary differentiators, the convergence of competitive SR and strong market shortening on Celtic Storm is the clearest evidence-based case available. Find Your Fire is the logical each-way alternative given its extraordinary steam and matching SR. Each-way alternative: Find Your Fire. Main danger: Find Your Fire — Find Your Fire shares Celtic Storm's SR of 150 and has steamed a remarkable 37% inward — the strongest single market move in the race — suggesting Stuart Williams's yard is highly confident this is a ready, able debutant that could justify favouritism by post time.
Full result
Winner: Tredegar Square (GB) at SP 16/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Tredegar Square 11/1
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2
Thespian Queen 10/1
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3
Reichenbach Falls 18/1
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4
Dreamed Fox #4 12/1
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5
Celtic Storm Fox #1 9/4
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5
Find Your Fire Fox #2 5/1
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7
Alam Rayan 28/1
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8
Kiril 33/1
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9
Tojoannie Fox #3 15/2
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10
Without Fail 18/1
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11
Playfull Warrior 13/2
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12
Storm Force Ten 12/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Celtic Storm 9/2 5TH
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2
Find Your Fire 11/2 5TH
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3
Tojoannie 9/2 9TH
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4
Dreamed 9/1 🏁 4TH