← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Unibet Supporting Safer Gambling Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Fallacious Promise
MEDIUM Advised 5/2 SP 3/1 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Fallacious Promise leads the field on SR (81) and carries only 9-2, giving a meaningful weight edge over Roi de Coeur (SR 77, 9-9) and Ballybunion (SR 75, 9-6). The form string 922312 shows a consistent progression to a recent second, and two prior places at Kempton (Course:W0P2) confirm track familiarity on this all-weather surface. John Butler runs at 14% and Luke Morris at 11% are reliable connections, and the 5/2 market position reflects genuine confidence despite the step up in class (ClassMv:↑1). The +10 mark rise is the one concern, but the SR advantage and weight allowance offset that risk materially. Each-way alternative: Shadowmere. Main danger: Ballybunion — Ballybunion (SR 75, 10/3 favourite, market shortened 8%) is the joint-highest-rated runner in realistic contention and carries only 9-6, with Callum Shepherd — a 14% strike-rate jockey — booked and money arriving late, suggesting connections expect a bold run on return.
Full result
Winner: Fallacious Promise (GB) at SP 3/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Fallacious Promise Fox #1 11/4
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2
Santiago Boy 33/1
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3
Alkumatic Jo Jo 20/1
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4
Ballybunion Fox #4 7/2
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5
Roi de Coeur Fox #2 7/2
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6
Something Coming 12/1
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7
Mojito 28/1
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8
Athena's War 66/1
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9
Seu Jo 80/1
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10
Mehmas Engine 100/1
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11
Coxy's Star 20/1
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12
Berkshire Boom 10/1
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13
Battosai 33/1
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14
Shadowmere Fox #3 4/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Fallacious Promise 5/2 SP 3/1 🏆 WON
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2
Roi de Coeur 11/2 5TH
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3
Shadowmere 5/1 14TH
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4
Ballybunion 10/3 🏁 4TH