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Mr Fox’s call
Believitanducan
HIGH Advised 13/8 Est. 38%
Mr Fox says
Believitanducan (SR 89, 13/8) is comfortably the class standout in this field — a SR of 89 towers over the next best Desert Belle (77) and Killer Whale (74), and the horse has won three straight in Form:/2-111 before its latest second. Crucially, it is dropping two class tiers (ClassMv:↓2), confirmed distance fit (DistFit:+) and going fit (GoingFit:+) on Good to Soft, and the market has steamed in 29% to 13/8 — the money is fully behind this. Top weight of 10-4 is a consideration, but the SR gap to the rest of the field (17 points clear of the second-highest) is sufficient to overcome the weight burden, and Alan King at 15% with a 5lb claimer Luke Catton (18%, solid record) is a positive, not negative, booking for a horse this dominant on ability. Each-way alternative: Killer Whale. Main danger: Desert Belle — Desert Belle (SR 77, 6/1) carries only 8-2 — a massive 16lb weight advantage over Believitanducan — and Sir Mark Prescott at 19% strike rate is a trainer who places his horses meticulously; course form (W0P2) and a recent run just 5 days ago suggests she is being aimed precisely here, even if the drift to 6/1 from a shorter price is mildly concerning.
Full result
Winner: Senor Cortez (IRE) at SP 8/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Senor Cortez 10/1
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2
Maxident 17/2
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3
Believitanducan Fox #1 15/8
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4
Desert Belle Fox #3 5/1
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5
Killer Whale Fox #2 8/1
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6
Premiere Ligne 10/1
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7
Rock N Roll Pinkie 40/1
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8
Kingdom Of Stars 50/1
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9
Scottish Anthem 80/1
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10
Knight Templar 16/1
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11
Barenboim 33/1
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—
Double Meaning Fox #4 9/2
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Believitanducan 13/8 🥉 3RD
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2
Killer Whale 15/2 5TH
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3
Desert Belle 6/1 🏁 4TH
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4
Double Meaning 5/1