Tim Kelly Group Handicap Hurdle

20:30 Ballinrobe Mon 10 Aug 2026 2m6f113y Good 19 runners

Mr Fox’s call

Moonshine Girl

MEDIUM Advised 11/2 Est. 18%

🏁 4TH

Mr Fox says

Moonshine Girl (SR:81, 11/2) is the highest-rated horse with a realistic weight (10-10) and is the only runner showing genuine market confidence — shortening 9% from opening. Her form string P8-722 shows back-to-back placed efforts most recently, indicating she is in decent form heading into this. At SR:81 she sits comfortably above the field median, and the DistFit:~ confirms she is at least moderate at this trip. The Paul John Gilligan/Jack Gilligan combination is competent and the tongue-tie application adds a layer of connections intent. GoingFit:- is a genuine concern, but in a weak €6,000 field where the next-best rated runner (Tannery Park, SR:84) has drifted 5% and lacks any going or distance confirmation, Moonshine Girl's market move carries more weight. Each-way alternative: Pilgrims Walk. Main danger: Tannery Park — Tannery Park (SR:84, 13/2) is the highest-rated runner in the field and, despite a modest 5% drift, carries a realistic weight of 11-13 with Sean Flanagan — an 8% career striker — aboard, and any improvement on an unresolved distance profile could see him go very close.

Verify· #11771

Full result

Winner: Nothing Hectic (IRE) at SP 14/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.