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Mr Fox’s call
Three Non Blondes
MEDIUM Advised 3/1 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Three Non Blondes (SR 93, 3/1) brings the most compelling multi-signal case in the field. The form string 215371 reads right-to-left as a recent win, and the horse is proven at today's distance (DistFit:+) and going (GoingFit:+) — two of the most reliable convergence signals available. Running off a mark only 1lb higher than the last win (MarkMv:+1), the weight penalty is negligible. Billy Loughnane at 19% career strike rate from 1,715 rides is the standout jockey booking in this field, and at 3/1 the market is pricing this sensibly without being overbet. The chief danger is Bone Marra, who is the favourite and also DistFit:+/GoingFit:+ with a course place to its name, but the 6/4 price offers poor value given the mark has risen 3lb since the last win and the form string (1-2012) shows inconsistency. Each-way alternative: Malachy's Wish. Main danger: Bone Marra — Bone Marra (SR 99, 6/4) is the top-rated horse in the field, is DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ at a course it has visited before, and Ollie Sangster's yard at 13% is respectable — if the mark rise of 3lb is absorbed, this is a genuine winner.
Full result
Winner: Malachy's Wish (GB) at SP 5/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Malachy's Wish Fox #3 6/1
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2
Do Bronxs 5/1
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3
Bone Marra Fox #2 6/4
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4
Brisk Symphony 14/1
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5
Pints In Peace 33/1
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6
Souffler 9/1
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7
Three Non Blondes Fox #1 11/4
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3