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Mr Fox’s call
Hope Rising
MEDIUM Advised 13/8 SP 2/7F Est. 38%
Mr Fox says
Hope Rising (SR:69, 13/8) is the highest-rated horse in the field by a clear margin and crucially carries only 10-1 — a 5lb weight advantage over top-weight Free World (SR:64, 10-6) who carries the biggest burden. Critically, Hope Rising is the only runner with confirmed distance and going fit (DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+), which matters enormously over 2m on Good to Firm — proven form over this exact trip and conditions is a decisive edge in a Class 6 field of just six. Trainer Jamie Snowden hits at 25% strike rate from 400 runners, the strongest yard in this field, and jockey Harry Vigors(3) at 12% is the most competent apprentice booking here. The danger is Free World, who has drifted 23% in the market — a significant negative signal — so the money is clearly siding with Hope Rising over the nominal favourite. Each-way alternative: Simiyann. Main danger: Simiyann — Simiyann (SR:57, 11/1) has steamed 25% in the market, carries a handy 9-12, is proven at this course (W0P2), has confirmed GoingFit:+ for today's conditions, and a MarkMv:-11 means connections are running off a mark 11lb below the last winning mark — a powerful combination of market confidence and favourable conditions that could easily land at the price.
Full result
Winner: Hope Rising (IRE) at SP 2/7F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Hope Rising Fox #1 4/5
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2
Joanna Hiffernan Fox #3 9/4
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3
Simiyann Fox #2 7/1
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4
Zooter 12/1
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5
Assured 80/1
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Free World -
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3