← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Dandara Homes Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
King Of The Dance
SPECULATIVE Advised 4/1 Est. 24%
Mr Fox says
King Of The Dance (SR:54, 4/1, Wgt:9-2) is the highest-rated runner aside from Nammos, carries a lighter weight, and crucially arrives off a mark that has dropped 4lb since last win — the most favourable handicap position in the field. Course form of 0W/3P at Ffos Las is meaningful evidence of track suitability, and GoingFit:~ on today's good ground is workable. The DistFit:~ at a mile is moderate but not a disqualifier, and a 15-day turnaround suggests connections are confident. Within the Llewellyn yard, Change Of Fortune carries the money (Mkt:in15%) but has GoingFit:- and a weaker recent form string (last run a 9), making King Of The Dance the yard's more compelling runner on balance. Each-way alternative: Change Of Fortune. Main danger: Nammos — Nammos is the highest SR in the field at 62, has shortened 7% in the market, and trainer Flint running him as the yard's #1 with William Carson booked — despite DistFit:- and GoingFit:-, the raw ability edge could simply overpower this modest Class 6 field.
Full result
Winner: Oviedo (IRE) at SP 13/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Oviedo 15/2
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2
Ivat Ghia 13/2
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3
Angel's Call Fox #4 13/2
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4
Nammos Fox #2 4/1
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5
Kev 14/1
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6
King Of The Dance Fox #1 4/1
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7
Rival 11/1
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8
Change Of Fortune Fox #3 11/2
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9
Big Moonrise 20/1
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10
Uncle Albert 18/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
King Of The Dance 4/1 6TH
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2
Nammos 4/1 🏁 4TH
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3
Change Of Fortune 11/2 8TH
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4
Angel's Call 9/2 🥉 3RD