← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Unibet/british Stallion Studs Ebf Fillies' Novice Stakes (gbb Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Marsala
SPECULATIVE Advised 7/4 Est. 35%
Mr Fox says
Marsala (SR:157, 7/4) is the highest-rated runner in the field by a clear margin and has attracted very significant market confidence, steaming in 34% from her opening price — the strongest market move in the race. Her sole run produced a fourth, which coming from a Ralph Beckett yard stepping up in class (ClassMv:↑1) suggests the experience of that debut will have sharpened her considerably. Beckett (17% strike rate, 915 runners) is a formidable handler of progressive 2yo fillies, and Edward Greatrex (14%, 619) is a competent booking. The drift on the market's second pick Coaxed (out 6%) and the collapse of Miss Miniver (out 25%) further confirms the money is firmly behind Marsala. Each-way alternative: Coaxed. Main danger: Coaxed — Coaxed (SR:152, 10/3) is the second-highest rated runner from the powerful Gosden yard and, while drifting slightly (out 6%), remains a heavily-backed debutante whose SR of 152 makes her the only other runner clearly in the same ability bracket as Marsala.
Full result
Winner: Coaxed (GB) at SP 9/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
-
1
Coaxed Fox #2 7/2
-
2
Miss Miniver Fox #3 5/1
-
3
Cullenagh Rainbow 50/1
-
4
Please Don't Go Fox #4 6/1
-
5
Thuritha 40/1
-
6
Speed Nation 20/1
-
7
Marsala Fox #1 13/8
-
8
Sweltering 9/1
-
9
Sweet Katarina 80/1
-
10
Friendly Force 10/1
-
11
Spirit Of Progress 250/1
-
12
South China Sea 50/1
-
—
Woollahra -
Top 4 — how each finished
-
1
Marsala 7/4 7TH
-
2
Coaxed 10/3 SP 9/2 🏆 WON
-
3
Miss Miniver 9/2 🥈 2ND
-
4
Please Don't Go 12/1 🏁 4TH