← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Unibet Support Safer Gambling Handicap Stakes (Div I)
Mr Fox’s call
Cogitate
SPECULATIVE Advised 11/4 Est. 30%
Mr Fox says
Cogitate (SR:87, 11/4) is the clear SR leader in this field and carries only 9-7, giving it a weight advantage over Percy's Lad (9-10) despite holding the ratings edge. The 19% market move inward is the strongest steaming signal in the race and is the most compelling corroborating evidence — money is coming for a reason at a relatively short price. Three places at Kempton (Course:W0P3) confirm it handles this track, and running off the same mark as its last win (MarkMv:=) means it is not being asked to win from a higher weight. DistFit:- is a concern, but Cogitate's course familiarity and SR superiority over a weak Class 4 field outweigh that caveat. Each-way alternative: Sea Founder. Main danger: Sea Founder — Sea Founder (SR:83, 5/1) has steamed in 30% — the joint-strongest market move in the race — carries a feather-weight 9-1, holds a course win and place (Course:W1P1), and is the only three-star runner in the field, making it the most credible threat to Cogitate despite the DistFit:~ flag.
Full result
Winner: Percy's Lad (GB) at SP 5/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Percy's Lad Fox #3 5/1
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2
Sea Founder Fox #2 7/2
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3
Peter The Wolf Fox #4 16/1
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4
Cogitate Fox #1 11/4
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5
Orchid 18/1
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6
Flag Of St George 14/1
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7
Arctician 14/1
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8
Longlai 33/1
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9
Brosay 25/1
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10
Nezeeh 125/1
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11
Dapper Guest 6/1
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Eminency 11/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3
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4