← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Unibet Support Safer Gambling Handicap Stakes (Div II)
Mr Fox’s call
Philanthropist
SPECULATIVE Advised 4/1 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Philanthropist (SR:87, 4/1) is the joint-highest rated runner and has steamed in 32% from opening — the most significant market move in the race by a wide margin, suggesting connections and informed money are firmly behind this. The drop of two class tiers (ClassMv:↓2) is a potent signal for a horse trained by James Fanshawe (18% strike rate, the best trainer strike rate in the field), and at 9-8 the weight is manageable. The DistFit:- flag at 7f is the main concern, but the class drop and market confidence are sufficiently compelling to override that worry in a field where no horse is dominant on ability alone — the SR:87 ties Wild Nature but Philanthropist has significantly stronger market backing and trainer credentials. The headgear note (p — presumably a hood or sheepskin) is first-time application, which adds further intrigue and is consistent with a horse connections believe will now show its true ability. Each-way alternative: Wild Nature. Main danger: Wild Nature — Wild Nature (SR:87, 6/1) matches Philanthropist on ability rating, has a proven course record (W1P1 at Kempton), carries only 1lb more and has shortened 7% in the market, giving it a credible case as the most course-wise runner in the field.
Full result
Winner: Racingbreaks Ryder (IRE) at SP 16/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Racingbreaks Ryder 11/1
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2
Philanthropist Fox #1 2/1
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3
Kiniro 17/2
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4
Berry Clever 11/1
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5
Bridget's View 25/1
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6
Wild Nature Fox #2 13/2
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7
Chalk Mountain Fox #3 5/1
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8
Kitaro Kich 22/1
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9
Metal Merchant 11/2
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10
Lady Mariko 20/1
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11
How Impressive 50/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Philanthropist 4/1 🥈 2ND
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2
Wild Nature 6/1 6TH
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3
Chalk Mountain 9/2 7TH