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20:30 Kempton (AW) Wed 12 Aug 2026 1m3f219y Class 3 Good to Soft 12 runners

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Mr Fox’s call

Kokbastau silks

Kokbastau

SPECULATIVE Advised 5/6 SP 11/10F Est. 35%

🏆 WON

Mr Fox says

Kokbastau (SR 94, 5/6) is the clear ability standout in this field — his SR of 94 sits well clear of the next best at 88, and crucially he carries just 9-6, a meaningful weight relief against rivals rated similarly. The market has spoken loudly: a 16% inward move to 5/6 from Roger Varian (19% career strike rate) with Cieren Fallon (20% strike rate) aboard is a powerful connections signal. His form of 6-31 shows a last-time-out win and he runs just 16 days later, suggesting he's in peak condition. The only reservation is unknown distance and going fitness (both DistFit:? and GoingFit:?), but the class, weight, and market alignment outweigh that uncertainty. Each-way alternative: Forever Penywern. Main danger: Forever Penywern — Forever Penywern (SR 88, 5/1) arrives on a strong 3211-1 form sequence including a last-time-out win, is trained by Warren Greatrex with his son riding (14% jockey strike rate), and at 5/1 represents a genuine threat if Kokbastau's unknown distance fitness proves a stumbling block on this 1m3f219y trip.

Verify· #12046

Full result

Winner: Kokbastau (GB) at SP 11/10F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

  1. 1 Kokbastau silks Kokbastau Fox #1 Roger Varian · Cieren Fallon 4/5
  2. 2 Bulletin silks Bulletin Fox #3 Jonathan Portman · Harry Davies 5/1
  3. 3 Forever Penywern silks Forever Penywern Fox #2 Warren Greatrex · Edward Greatrex 13/2
  4. 3 Must Believe silks Must Believe George Baker · Benoit de la Sayette 28/1
  5. 5 Dust Cover silks Dust Cover Ross Burdon · Jack Mitchell 12/1
  6. 6 Classical Allusion silks Classical Allusion Andrew Balding · Callum Hutchinson 14/1
  7. 7 The Green Mile silks The Green Mile Fox #4 Neil Mulholland · Charles Bishop 15/2
  8. 8 Galaxy Star silks Galaxy Star Alan King · Harry Vigors(5) 40/1
  9. 9 Son Of Man silks Son Of Man Jim Boyle · David Egan 25/1
  10. 10 Duc De Kent silks Duc De Kent Ian Williams · Stevie Donohoe 50/1
  11. 11 Cumulonimbus silks Cumulonimbus George Baker · Neil Callan 50/1
  12. 12 Mathematician silks Mathematician Neil Mulholland · Finley Marsh 66/1

Top 4 — how each finished

  1. 1 Kokbastau silks Kokbastau 5/6 SP 11/10F 🏆 WON
  2. 2 Forever Penywern silks Forever Penywern 5/1 🥉 3RD
  3. 3 Bulletin silks Bulletin 13/2 🥈 2ND
  4. 4 The Green Mile silks The Green Mile 8/1 7TH