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Molson Coors Pembroke Novice Stakes (GBB Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Bold Shout
SPECULATIVE Advised 6/4 SP 1/1F Est. 38%
Mr Fox says
Bold Shout (SR 154, 6/4) is the highest-rated horse in this field by a clear margin — 6 points above Annie Sioux and 16 above Kodicall — and Clive Cox's dual-runner presence signals this is their yard's number one, supported by the stronger jockey booking of Hector Crouch (17% career strike rate) over Tom Marquand on Annie Sioux who has drifted 22% in the market. The 64-day break is not a concern in a Cox yard known for patient preparation, and carrying 9-7 at a 5lb advantage over the dead-weight runners is not a burden at this level. Annie Sioux's significant drift (22% out) despite being the stablemate and a debutante suggests the yard's money is clearly on Bold Shout. Remi Mae (SR 85, 5/4 favourite) is overpriced for ability against this SR — Bold Shout's 154 dwarfs Remi Mae's 85 — and the market may be rewarding Murphy/Balding reputation rather than raw ability. Each-way alternative: Annie Sioux. Main danger: Remi Mae — Remi Mae (SR 85, 5/4) is proven at today's distance (DistFit:+), is trained by the in-form Andrew Balding (19% strike rate) with Oisin Murphy aboard (21% strike rate), and is the market's jolly — the combination of elite connections and distance suitability could overcome the significant SR gap if Bold Shout is not fully wound up after a 64-day break.
Full result
Winner: Bold Shout (IRE) at SP 1/1F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Bold Shout Fox #1 evn
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2
Just Dreaming 100/1
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3
Remi Mae Fox #2 13/8
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4
Gris De Chine 18/1
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5
Kodicall 14/1
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6
It's A Mugs Game 33/1
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7
Annie Sioux Fox #3 15/2
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Bold Shout 6/4 SP 1/1F 🏆 WON
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2
Remi Mae 5/4 🥉 3RD
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3
Annie Sioux 13/2 7TH