← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Gowran Park Golf Optional Claiming Race
Mr Fox’s call
Liberate
SPECULATIVE Advised 3/1 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Liberate (SR:67, 3/1) is the market leader and the highest-SR runner in the field alongside Minaun View, but carries a much lighter 9-0 versus Minaun View's 9-2, a meaningful edge in a tight claiming race. The market has shortened 6% since opening — genuine money behind the horse — and trainer Denis Gerard Hogan (9%, 738 runners) is a volume operator with the tools to place a horse in this grade. The form string 090559 shows a latest run of 9th, but this is a 3-star AI probability field at Gowran Park in an optional claimer worth €6,000 where the SR ceiling is 72 — Liberate's 67 is competitive, and the weight-plus-market combination makes it the most credible winner in a moderate field. Chris Hayes (12%, 347) is a strong booking for the grade. Each-way alternative: Minaun View. Main danger: Minaun View — Minaun View (SR:71, 9/1) is the highest-rated horse in the field, has shown a recent run just 11 days ago suggesting peak fitness, carries 9-2 and a ★★★☆☆ AI probability rating, and at 9/1 represents a material threat if the market has underestimated it.
Full result
Winner: Minaun View (GB) at SP 2/1F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Minaun View Fox #2 10/3
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2
Mythical Rock 5/1
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3
Slight Of Foot 33/1
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4
Land Of The Giants 6/1
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5
Bill Silvers 16/1
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6
Jp's Express Fox #4 11/2
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7
Passage Of Power 4/1
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8
Zitkala Sa 33/1
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9
Hello Stacia 20/1
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10
Contrite 11/2
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11
Buttermere Ridge 20/1
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12
Countertop 100/1
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13
If Not For Grace 125/1
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14
May Night 40/1
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15
Macinamillion 66/1
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Star Of Beauty Fox #3 -
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Liberate Fox #1 -
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Hastily -
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Liberate 3/1
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2
Minaun View 9/1 SP 2/1F 🏆 WON
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3
Star Of Beauty 15/2
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4
Jp's Express 13/2 6TH