← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
1XBET IRISH SPIRIT Handicap (Div I)
Mr Fox’s call
She's Ideal
SPECULATIVE Advised 4/1 SP 11/4 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
She's Ideal (SR:62, 4/1) is the clear class leader in this field — her SR of 62 is the highest alongside Connova's 65, but she carries 10-2 versus Connova's featherweight 8-8, a 14lb advantage in weight terms for Connova. However, the critical differentiator is the market: She's Ideal has steamed in 21% since opening, the strongest market move in the field, signalling significant money from informed connections. Connova's trainer Ms Sheila Lavery runs at just 1% strike rate from 105 runners — an extraordinarily poor record that undermines the SR advantage heavily — while Adrian McGuinness's 8% strike rate is more respectable in this context. She's Ideal's DistFit:- is a concern at 1m1f100y, but the strong market support and SR lead over the rest of the field (next best SR after Connova is 49) makes her the most defensible selection in a very weak 20-runner heat. Each-way alternative: Connova. Main danger: Connova — Connova's SR:65 is the highest in the field and the 14lb weight pull over She's Ideal is substantial — if Lavery's yard is firing for once, that ability edge could tell over this trip.
Full result
Winner: She's Ideal (IRE) at SP 11/4. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
She's Ideal Fox #1 4/1
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2
Perfect Judgement 11/1
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3
Thompson Gunner 16/1
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4
Connova Fox #2 11/4
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5
No More Hiding 12/1
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6
Cameclose 16/1
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7
La Campanella Fox #3 6/1
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8
Lohengrin 33/1
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9
Georg Zhukov Fox #4 16/1
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10
Keilah 10/1
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11
Gold Dublooms 28/1
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12
William F Browne 12/1
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13
Omissions 18/1
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14
Shelbourne Flyer 16/1
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15
Pimlico Piranha 33/1
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16
Onyeisi 40/1
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Giselles Defence -
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Tullyesker -
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Pettus Bridge -
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Bang Po -
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
She's Ideal 4/1 SP 11/4 🏆 WON
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2
Connova 5/2 🏁 4TH
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3
La Campanella 6/1 7TH
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4
Georg Zhukov 16/1 9TH