← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Connexin Super Fast Sprint Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
American Bay
SPECULATIVE Advised 3/1 Est. 30%
Mr Fox says
American Bay holds the highest SR in the field at 77, dropping a class (ClassMv:↓1) which immediately makes this a more winnable contest. The market has backed him in 19% from opening, and Jason Hart (14% strike rate, 1301 career rides) is a notably strong jockey booking for this yard. His form 257205 shows consistent involvement — never far back — and the class drop off a MarkMv:+1 (minimal penalty) makes the handicapper's mark manageable. Paul Midgley's yard sends two runners but American Bay gets the superior jockey in Hart vs Nolan, signalling yard confidence here. Each-way alternative: Ingleby Archie. Main danger: Ingleby Archie — Ingleby Archie holds a Course:W1P1 record at Beverley, is proven at the distance (DistFit:+), drops a class, and carries a light 9-5 — the course specialist angle on a tight 5f track is a genuine threat to any runner without that advantage.
Full result
Winner: Shazani (FR) at SP 7/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Shazani Fox #3 5/1
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2
Call To Action 10/1
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3
Castan 9/1
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4
Infinity Blue 33/1
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5
Ventura Express Fox #4 10/3
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6
Good Earth 14/1
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7
American Bay Fox #1 3/1
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8
Holbache 14/1
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9
Opal Storm 14/1
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10
Jojo Rabbit 9/1
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Ingleby Archie Fox #2 -
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Squealer -
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
American Bay 3/1 7TH
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2
Ingleby Archie 17/2
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3
Shazani 7/1 SP 7/2 🏆 WON
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4
Ventura Express 4/1 5TH