← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Become A Friend Of Racing Welfare Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Dove Tale
MEDIUM Advised 6/4 SP 11/8F Est. 42%
Mr Fox says
Dove Tale (SR 158, 6/4) is the class standout by a clear margin — 7 SR points ahead of Neswick and 8 ahead of Walking On Stars — and is trained by John & Thady Gosden whose 24% strike rate from 751 runners is the strongest yard in the field by distance. The market has shortened 8% since opening (Mkt:in8%), confirming professional confidence, and the hood (HG:h) suggests connections have found a gear since the '9' last time. Only 8 days between runs points to a yard that knows this filly is ready to bounce back and capitalise on a weak novice field at Class 3. Each-way alternative: Neswick. Main danger: Neswick — Neswick (SR 151, 4/1) showed a place at this course on debut and steps up in class, but the 28% market drift is a concern — connections may be treating it as a learning run after 108 days off.
Full result
Winner: Dove Tale (GER) at SP 11/8F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Dove Tale Fox #1 6/4
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2
Walking On Stars Fox #3 6/1
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3
Shangri La 5/2
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4
Neswick Fox #2 4/1
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5
Blue Hill 12/1
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6
Protectrix 50/1
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7
Champagne Beau 100/1
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8
Oklahoma Dream 40/1
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9
Paraone 80/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3