← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Download The At The Races App Nursery Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Beautiful Effort
SPECULATIVE Advised 9/2 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Beautiful Effort (SR:71, 9/2) is the standout on market intelligence: a 45% inward move since opening is the strongest steaming signal in the field by a wide margin and demands respect in a Class 5 nursery where the market regularly reflects stable confidence. Dropping one class (ClassMv:↓1) makes the task easier, and at 9-2 off 9-2 weight there is no burden concern. Trainer Ismail Mohammed & Jose Santos carry a 0% strike rate from a small 37-runner sample — a flag — but the booking of Benoit de la Sayette (13%, 192) is a meaningful upgrade and the 45% steam suggests connections believe today's conditions suit. Form reads 965 — three starts, improving race-by-race with a step forward expected over 5f6y at Lingfield AW on good ground where the untried distance tag (DistFit:?) is not a negative, merely an unknown. Each-way alternative: South West. Main danger: South West — South West (SR:77, 3/1) is the class leader on SR and has a proven distance record (DistFit:+), though the 16% drift and a mark 8lb above last win (MarkMv:+8) are genuine concerns that keep it off the top spot.
Full result
Winner: Sultan Darius (IRE) at SP 12/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
-
1
Sultan Darius 14/1
-
2
Beautiful Effort Fox #1 4/1
-
3
Viking Barbie 13/2
-
4
From Me To You 10/1
-
5
Miss Moneypit 10/1
-
6
Stoney Wood Fox #4 7/1
-
7
Secret Rival 14/1
-
8
Wolf's Gallop Fox #3 13/2
-
9
South West Fox #2 3/1
-
—
American Psycho -
Top 4 — how each finished
-
1
Beautiful Effort 9/2 🥈 2ND
-
2
South West 3/1 9TH
-
3
Wolf's Gallop 7/1 8TH
-
4
Stoney Wood 7/1 6TH