← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox

Tattersalls £40,000 EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)

19:04 Salisbury Thu 13 Aug 2026 1m Class 2 Good 5 runners

View the racecard →

Mr Fox’s call

Siena Storm silks

Siena Storm

SPECULATIVE Advised 4/6 SP 2/5F Est. 42%

🏆 WON

Mr Fox says

Siena Storm leads the field on SR at 157 — the only runner above 155 — and Ed Walker's 15% career strike rate paired with Kieran Shoemark is a solid booking for a horse expected to progress. At 4/6, the market is decisively confident despite a form figure of just '4' last time out, suggesting connections and the market believe the debut run massively understated ability. The equal class move means no upward step in grade to worry about, and at 9-2 Clarity, the Balding yard's primary runner, is actually drifting (out 10%) despite having Oisin Murphy aboard — the market is not rushing to oppose Siena Storm. The main concern is the unknown distance and going fit for all runners, but on raw SR and market conviction this is the clear selection. Each-way alternative: Clarity. Main danger: Indian Lights — Indian Lights carries an SR of 151 and has Oisin Murphy's rejected booking filled by Ben Coen — stepping up two class tiers is the risk, but if that fourth-place debut form translates upwards, Michael Bell's filly could improve enough to challenge.

Verify· #12154

Full result

Winner: Siena Storm (GER) at SP 2/5F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

  1. 1 Siena Storm silks Siena Storm Fox #1 Ed Walker · Kieran Shoemark 4/7
  2. 2 Clarity silks Clarity Fox #2 Andrew Balding · Oisin Murphy 4/1
  3. 3 Orchard Hatches silks Orchard Hatches Marcus Tregoning · Edward Greatrex 20/1
  4. 4 Indian Lights silks Indian Lights Fox #3 Michael Bell · Ben Coen 5/1
  5. — Caelan's Rose silks Caelan's Rose Andrew Balding · William Carver 28/1

Top 4 — how each finished

  1. 1 Siena Storm silks Siena Storm 4/6 SP 2/5F 🏆 WON
  2. 2 Clarity silks Clarity 7/2 🥈 2ND
  3. 3 Indian Lights silks Indian Lights 9/2 🏁 4TH