← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
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Mr Fox’s call
Beelzebub
SPECULATIVE Advised 7/2 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Beelzebub (SR:64, 7/2, 9-8) is the highest-rated runner in this Class 6 field and carries a manageable weight. Crucially, he holds a Course:W1P1 record at Windsor — a specialist-track advantage that matters here — and his last run produced a '2' finish, indicating he arrives in form. Tony Carroll books stable jockey Billy Loughnane (19% SR, 1724 career rides) over the 5-claim Myla Coppins on stablemate Rye, which is a clear yard signal that Beelzebub is the stable's number one. The MarkMv:+6 is a mild concern but the class ceiling here is low and his SR edge of 3+ points over the next-best rivals Methgal and May Encounter is meaningful at this level. Each-way alternative: Rianka. Main danger: May Encounter — May Encounter (SR:61, 9/2) has steamed in 41% in the market — the most significant move in the field — and carries just 9-6 with a class drop (ClassMv:↓1), suggesting connections expect the Henry Candy yard's headgear (h) switch to unlock improvement despite the DistFit:- flag.
Full result
Winner: Methgal (IRE) at SP 100/30. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Methgal Fox #4 11/4
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2
Lahina Bay 12/1
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3
Legendsoftheland 6/1
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4
One For Harvey 40/1
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5
The Feminine Urge 18/1
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6
Beelzebub Fox #1 10/3
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7
May Encounter Fox #2 9/2
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8
Beach Partee 16/1
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9
Rianka Fox #3 15/2
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10
Elmfield 18/1
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11
Ragaire 40/1
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Rye -
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Beelzebub 7/2 6TH
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2
May Encounter 9/2 7TH
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3
Rianka 6/1 9TH
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4
Methgal 3/1 SP 100/30 🏆 WON