← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
O'Neill's Bar Beginners Steeplechase
Mr Fox’s call
Kasper Hauser
SPECULATIVE Advised 3/1 SP 3/1J Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Kasper Hauser (SR 108, 3/1) is the highest-rated runner in the field by a meaningful margin over Coded Welder (SR 104) and carries the lightest weight at 11-0 — a 12lb advantage over the rest of the field at 11-12, which is significant in a beginners' chase over 2m5f on good ground. His form reads 52-531 with the rightmost digit a '1', meaning he won last time out just 20 days ago, suggesting peak fitness. Trainer Kevin Thomas Coleman's yard is ticking along at 6% and the 3/1 market price reflects genuine confidence without being prohibitively short. GoingFit:~ is a mild flag but not a disqualifier, and being only 4 years old in a field of older horses suggests he has more scope for improvement over fences. Each-way alternative: Coded Welder. Main danger: Coded Welder — Coded Welder (SR 104, 4/1) has confirmed DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ — the only horse in the field with both flags positive — meaning today's conditions and trip are exactly where he's proven, and a tongue-tie first applied here could sharpen him up further.
Full result
Winner: Kasper Hauser (GB) at SP 3/1J. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Kasper Hauser Fox #1 3/1
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2
Rattledelatch 40/1
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3
Frankie's Freebie Fox #3 7/2
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4
Burru 7/1
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5
Coded Welder Fox #2 5/1
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6
Mephisto 16/1
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7
Juke Hill 11/2
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8
Happy Me 28/1
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9
Le Kap Fox #4 11/2
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Kasper Hauser 3/1 SP 3/1J 🏆 WON
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2
Coded Welder 4/1 5TH
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3
Frankie's Freebie 11/2 🥉 3RD
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4
Le Kap 11/2 9TH