← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Flynn Hotel Group Handicap Hurdle
Mr Fox’s call
Claude
SPECULATIVE Advised 4/1 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Claude (SR:107, 4/1, Wgt:11-8) shares the top SR rating with Churchwarden but carries 4lb less and has seen a dramatic 47% market move inward — the strongest market signal in the race by a wide margin. A small yard (Connell, 14% strike rate from only 22 runners) attracting that level of money suggests connections are confident. The GoingFit:~ is not ideal but neither is it a disqualifier, and at 5 years old there is residual improvement to come. The form string 7P-030 is modest but the market is clearly telling us this horse is primed for a better showing today. Each-way alternative: Churchwarden. Main danger: Churchwarden — Churchwarden (SR:107, 9/4, Course:W1P1) shares the top SR, has proven course form, and suits today's good going (GoingFit:+), though the 8% drift and a MarkMv:+48 are significant concerns that keep it off the top spot.
Full result
Winner: Rightfolksplease (IRE) at SP 7/4. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Rightfolksplease 11/4
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2
Churchwarden Fox #2 15/8
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3
Dairy Force Fox #3 11/4
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4
Claude Fox #1 9/2
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5
Palace Boy 40/1
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6
Kome Dans Un Reve 22/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Claude 4/1 🏁 4TH
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2
Churchwarden 9/4 🥈 2ND
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3
Dairy Force 11/4 🥉 3RD