← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Bluegrass Horse Feeds Handicap Hurdle
Mr Fox’s call
The Cobblers Wife
SPECULATIVE Advised 12/1 SP 9/2C Est. 18%
Mr Fox says
The Cobblers Wife (SR:62, 12/1) carries a featherweight 10-5 in a wide-open 19-runner handicap hurdle and is the standout market mover: Mkt:in39% is by far the most aggressive steam in this field, suggesting connections have strong belief. At 10-5 she has a meaningful weight advantage over the top-heavies (Double Power and Pure Logic at 11-12) and the market signal overrides her moderate recent form (U064-P), which likely hides a fitness issue now resolved after 92 days off. Anthony Mullins (6% SR, 65 runners) is a small yard but the money pouring in at 12/1 for a horse with a clean weight pull is the loudest signal in a race where no runner has a dominant SR, no DistFit or GoingFit edge is established, and the entire field sits below SR:85. Maxicourt holds the highest SR (82) but carries GoingFit:- and drifted nothing, while The Cobblers Wife's dramatic support makes her the value anchor in a chaotic field. Each-way alternative: Maxicourt. Main danger: Maxicourt — Maxicourt (SR:82) is the highest-rated runner in the field at 7/2 favourite and carries only 11-7, giving it both a SR edge and a manageable weight despite the GoingFit:- concern on good ground.
Full result
Winner: The Cobblers Wife (IRE) at SP 9/2C. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
The Cobblers Wife Fox #1 6/1
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2
Princess Felicia 6/1
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3
Pure Logic 22/1
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4
Talas Kera 20/1
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5
Maxicourt Fox #2 7/2
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6
The Ducks Walk Fox #4 7/1
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7
Lanzhou 20/1
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8
Double Power 10/1
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9
Arctic Piper 25/1
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10
Nashville Notions 11/1
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11
Inchidaly Copper 9/1
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12
Taketwotoone 22/1
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13
Keep The Head 66/1
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14
Diamond Secret Fox #3 9/1
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Miss Guiry 22/1
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Youknowme 14/1
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Beacon Bypass -
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Jack Inthe Jukebox -
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Colesberg -
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
The Cobblers Wife 12/1 SP 9/2C 🏆 WON
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2
Maxicourt 7/2 5TH
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3
Diamond Secret 6/1 14TH
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4
The Ducks Walk 5/1 6TH