← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Betfred 'Play Fred's £5 Million' Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Mrembo
SPECULATIVE Advised 10/3 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Mrembo (SR:63, 10/3) is the clear class leader in this field and the market has reinforced that view with a significant 32% inward move — the strongest Mkt:in signal in the race. Dropping one class (ClassMv:↓1) from a recent mark that remains unchanged (MarkMv:=) means connections are targeting this race rather than running her into tougher company. Hector Crouch (17% career SR, 800 runners) is the best jockey booking in the field, and at 9-12 she carries manageable weight in a Class 6 field where most rivals are below SR:60. The moderate DistFit:~ and GoingFit:~ are the only caveats, but against this quality of opposition they are not dealbreakers. Each-way alternative: Haveagobeau. Main danger: Haveagobeau — Haveagobeau (SR:58, 9/2) has a proven win on his recent form (Form:215521), drops one class (ClassMv:↓1), has shown up at this course before (Course:W0P1), and carries a favourable 9-8 weight — his 7% inward market move suggests quiet yard confidence despite the concerning GoingFit:-.
Full result
Winner: Private Project (IRE) at SP 22/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Private Project 25/1
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2
Mrembo Fox #1 10/3
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3
Offiah's Boy Fox #4 7/2
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4
Haveagobeau Fox #2 13/2
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5
Pangbourne 10/1
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6
Gretna Dreams Fox #3 10/3
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7
Celtic Spirit 17/2
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8
All About George 12/1
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9
Cormorant Rock 40/1
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10
Lady Margret 50/1
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—
Time To Sparkle -
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Mrembo 10/3 🥈 2ND
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2
Haveagobeau 9/2 🏁 4TH
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3
Gretna Dreams 10/3 6TH
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4
Offiah's Boy 3/1 🥉 3RD