← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
BetVictor Watch Weekend Winners EBF Fillies' Conditions Stakes (GBB Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Sorrengail
SPECULATIVE Advised 15/8 Est. 35%
Mr Fox says
Sorrengail (SR:87) is the highest-rated runner in this field by a clear margin — 8 points clear of Evenfall (SR:78) — and carries Charlie Appleby's powerful 30% strike rate stable with William Buick in the saddle. The 4-1 form (fourth then first) shows an improver who has already broken through at a lower tier and now steps up one class, which is a manageable ask compared to the two-class jumps faced by rivals. The slight market drift of 8% is the only concern, but at 15/8 the combination of top SR, elite connections, and a progressive form profile makes this the standout selection. Evenfall is the obvious danger at 4/5 favourite, but its single run form line and 9-point SR deficit to Sorrengail mean the favourite is overpriced on raw ability. Each-way alternative: Coat Of Red. Main danger: Evenfall — Evenfall is the 4/5 favourite with a 7% market steamers and Boughey/Loughnane is a sharp combination — the single winning run may have been achieved with significant ability in hand that the SR of 78 does not fully capture, making it a genuine threat to Sorrengail despite the rating gap.
Full result
Winner: Evenfall (GB) at SP 6/5F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Evenfall Fox #2 4/5
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2
Sorrengail Fox #1 15/8
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3
Coat Of Red Fox #3 15/2
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4
Ferrystream 16/1
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5
Nonrem 66/1
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Spirit Of Lyra -
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Sorrengail 15/8 🥈 2ND
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2
Evenfall 4/5 SP 6/5F 🏆 WON
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3
Coat Of Red 10/1 🥉 3RD