← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox

Racing TV Handicap Stakes

19:37 Newmarket (July) Fri 14 Aug 2026 1m0f0y Class 3 Good to Firm 10 runners

View the racecard →

Mr Fox’s call

Tuscan Hills silks

Tuscan Hills

SPECULATIVE Advised 4/1 Est. 26%

🥈 2ND

Mr Fox says

Tuscan Hills (SR 88, 4/1, 10-0) is the standout selection on the convergence of a significant market move — steaming in 23% — combined with a favourable weight allocation and a class drop. At 10-0 the weight is manageable, and the DistFit:? and GoingFit:? unknowns are offset by the fact that a 4yo trained by Nigel Tinkler with Rob Hornby booked is a meaningful yard-jockey combination. Crucially, a 23% market move in a 10-runner Class 3 handicap is not coincidence — connections are clearly confident. The form string 6-0055 is unimpressive on the surface but the class drop of one tier means previous efforts came in tougher company, and the recent run 13 days ago keeps the horse race-fit. Each-way alternative: Brocklesby Bill. Main danger: Brocklesby Bill — Brocklesby Bill (SR 90, 15/2, 8-13) is the joint-highest SR in the field, carries the lightest weight at 8-13, has a DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ confirmed — the only runner with both distance and going proven — and a form string of 01241 is consistent; the drift of 19% is the one concern, likely reflecting the class rise and a small trainer sample (Kathy Turner, 27% strike rate from just 22 runners).

Verify· #12353

Full result

Winner: Principality (IRE) at SP 7/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

  1. 1 Principality silks Principality Harry Eustace · Kaiya Fraser 8/1
  2. 2 Tuscan Hills silks Tuscan Hills Fox #1 Nigel Tinkler · Rob Hornby 5/1
  3. 3 Mythical Guest silks Mythical Guest George Margarson · Mason Paetel(5) 18/1
  4. 4 Croupier silks Croupier Joel Parkinson & Sue Smith · Robert Havlin 13/2
  5. 5 Hickory silks Hickory Fox #3 Jamie Osborne · William Carver 7/1
  6. 6 Sterling Knight silks Sterling Knight Ed Dunlop · Toby Moore(7) 14/1
  7. 7 God Of War silks God Of War Tom Clover · Marco Ghiani 6/1
  8. 8 Storm Star silks Storm Star Andrew Balding · Alfie Redman(7) 13/2
  9. 9 Brocklesby Bill silks Brocklesby Bill Fox #2 Kathy Turner · Charlie Tucker(7) 8/1
  10. 10 Zarathos silks Zarathos Fox #4 Dylan Cunha · Callum Shepherd 7/1

Top 4 — how each finished

  1. 1 Tuscan Hills silks Tuscan Hills 4/1 🥈 2ND
  2. 2 Brocklesby Bill silks Brocklesby Bill 15/2 9TH
  3. 3 Hickory silks Hickory 11/2 5TH
  4. 4 Zarathos silks Zarathos 17/2 10TH