British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

14:38 Yarmouth Fri 14 Aug 2026 7f3y Class 3 Good to Firm 7 runners

Mr Fox’s call

Rock Montreal

SPECULATIVE Advised 4/6 SP 2/5F Est. 38%

🏆 WON

Mr Fox says

Rock Montreal carries the highest SR in the field at 156, backed by Roger Varian (19% strike rate over 652 runners — a top-tier operation) and Ray Dawson (15% strike rate). The market has installed it at 4/6 favourite, reflecting strong stable confidence in a debut run. Its SR of 156 places it firmly in the top-class range, a full 3 points clear of the next-rated Junior Again (SR 153) and 5 points ahead of Stormy Winter (SR 151). In a 7f novice on good to firm at Yarmouth, with all runners at equal weight (9-7), the SR edge combined with the Varian/Dawson booking and market confidence makes this a clear selection despite the short price. Each-way alternative: Junior Again. Main danger: Stormy Winter — Stormy Winter (SR 151) has shortened 11% in the market since opening — the only horse with positive market momentum aside from the favourite — and the Saeed bin Suroor yard carries a 22% career strike rate, the highest of any trainer in the field, suggesting this 10-day quick turnaround is a purposeful move.

Verify· #12227

Full result

Winner: Rock Montreal (IRE) at SP 2/5F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

1 Rock Montreal Fox #1 Roger Varian · Ray Dawson 4/6
2 Mino Marco Botti · Benoit de la Sayette 14/1
3 Junior Again Fox #2 George Boughey · Jamie Spencer 7/2
4 On Target George Scott · Darragh Keenan 14/1
5 Stormy Winter Fox #3 Saeed bin Suroor · Jack Mitchell 7/1
6 Del Pearo John Ryan · Silvestre De Sousa 28/1
— Majestic Jude William Haggas · Cieren Fallon -

Top 4 — how each finished

1 Rock Montreal 4/6 SP 2/5F 🏆 WON
2 Junior Again 4/1 🥉 3RD
3 Stormy Winter 11/2 5TH