← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Danny Frost - Medlock Electrical Distributors Classified Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
My Mate Mackley
SPECULATIVE Advised 3/1 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
My Mate Mackley (SR:64, 3/1) is the highest-rated runner in this Class 6 field and arrives on the back of a last-time-out win (form 322421, rightmost digit = 1), having run just yesterday which confirms peak freshness rather than staleness. DistFit:+ validates the 6f trip, the same mark as the last win (MarkMv:=) means no penalty for that victory, and at 9-5 it carries 4lb less than the level-weight rivals. Trainer Adam Kirby posts a solid 12% strike rate and the 3/1 market price, while not a screaming mover, is consistent with a horse the yard fancies. The one caveat is GoingFit:? — an unknown on good-to-firm — but with the strongest SR, proven trip, and a race-fit profile, it is the standout selection. Each-way alternative: Valadero. Main danger: Valadero — Valadero (SR:63, 6/1) has DistFit:+ AND GoingFit:+ — the only runner proven over this exact trip on good-to-firm — and a last-time-out win (form 6-7831) on a quick eight-day turnaround suggests the yard has a definite target in mind despite the slight market drift.
Full result
Winner: Thanks Dad (GB) at SP 12/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Thanks Dad 14/1
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2
Valadero Fox #2 6/1
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3
My Mate Mackley Fox #1 5/2
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4
Mister Sandman Fox #3 7/2
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5
My Mate Beattie 14/1
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6
Mayflower Rock 6/1
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7
Payforanother Daay 50/1
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8
Bullington Bry 7/1
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9
Red Legs 10/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
My Mate Mackley 3/1 🥉 3RD
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2
Valadero 6/1 🥈 2ND
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3
Mister Sandman 10/3 🏁 4TH