← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
John Fairbrother Memorial Mares Handicap Hurdle
Mr Fox’s call
Bravewhenineedtobe
SPECULATIVE Advised 15/2 Est. 24%
Mr Fox says
Bravewhenineedtobe (SR:93, 15/2) carries the second-lightest weight in the field at 10-9, giving her a meaningful lbs advantage over top-weight Del Boys Diva (SR:102, 11-12) and the cluster of runners on 11-7 to 11-9. Crucially, she is the Margaret Mullins yard's #1 runner here — J J Slevin, a stronger booking at 11% strike rate from 461 rides, has been placed on stablemate Rare Times, while Bravewhenineedtobe has attracted significant market support (Mkt:in17%) while Rare Times drifts (Mkt:out21%), a clear signal from connections. The recent form of 34621 shows consistent competitiveness and a last-time-out second, suggesting she is close to winning. At 15/2 with the money coming and a light weight, she offers the best risk-adjusted case in a modest field. Each-way alternative: Sea Of Doubt. Main danger: Del Boys Diva — Del Boys Diva (SR:102) is the highest-rated horse in the field and recent form shows back-to-back wins (Form:00-911), suggesting a horse in sharp form despite the drift and a stiff 11-12 top-weight burden.
Full result
Winner: Small Bucks (IRE) at SP 17/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Small Bucks 13/2
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2
Rare Times 13/2
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3
Tingarran Express Fox #4 9/2
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4
Cinnabar Moth 22/1
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5
Del Boys Diva Fox #2 4/1
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6
Sea Of Doubt Fox #3 5/1
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7
Like An Ocean 18/1
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8
Bravewhenineedtobe Fox #1 7/1
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Galileo Springs 5/1
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Golden Wings -
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Bravewhenineedtobe 15/2 8TH
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2
Del Boys Diva 3/1 5TH
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3
Sea Of Doubt 4/1 6TH
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4
Tingarran Express 11/2 🥉 3RD