← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Bet Smarter With Oddschecker+ Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Eternal Angel
SPECULATIVE Advised 8/13 Est. 52%
Mr Fox says
Eternal Angel (SR 131, 8/13) has steamed in 24% in the market — the most significant signal in this small field — and boasts confirmed DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ on today's 2m0f125y good ground trip, meaning connections are confident she handles today's conditions. The class drop (↓1) into a weak Class 4 novice hurdle with only four declared runners further aids her cause, and despite the +5 mark move, Tom Lacey's 17% yard strike rate with Jonathan Burke (16%) is a workmanlike but competent combination. The SR of 131 is narrowly below the two market principles but the market weight — a 24% steam to 8/13 — overrides that marginal SR gap and confirms she is the yard's intended winner today. Each-way alternative: Loriko. Main danger: Mayo — Mayo holds the highest SR in the field at 134 and carries 12lb less than the favourite at 11-0, meaning if Mickey Bowen's yard has freshened the horse properly over 70 days and it handles the trip and going on debut over these conditions, the weight and SR advantage could prove decisive.
Full result
Winner: Loriko (FR) at SP 5/4. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Loriko Fox #2 6/4
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2
Eternal Angel Fox #1 4/9
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3
Destination Unkown 150/1
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Mayo Fox #3 -
Top 4 — how each finished
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