← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Oddschecker Free Bets Handicap Hurdle Race
Mr Fox’s call
Belvedere Blast
SPECULATIVE Advised 3/1 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Belvedere Blast (SR:106, 3/1, 11-3) carries the lightest competitive weight among the main contenders and shows a confirmed GoingFit:+ on today's good ground — a concrete edge over most rivals whose going fitness is unknown. The market has shortened 9% since opening, indicating professional money coming in despite a form line that includes a recent 9th; that drift-back on the form is likely context-specific given the horse's class record. The jockey booking of Oakley Brown (an apprentice claiming a meaningful allowance) further lightens the burden, and Adrian Keatley's 16% strike rate over 219 runners is respectable at this level. Against a field where the two highest-rated runners carry serious weight concerns and the market leader Kiwi de Cotte has drifted a massive 36%, Belvedere Blast's combination of going suitability, weight advantage, and steaming market stands out. Each-way alternative: Lowlands. Main danger: Lowlands — Lowlands (SR:111, 4/1, 11-2) is the second-highest rated runner, also confirmed GoingFit:+, has also seen market support (in6%), and carries less weight than Ernest Gray — a consistent 23-1-2-4 form sequence shows a horse that competes regularly at this level without disgracing itself, and SR:111 gives a genuine ability edge over Belvedere Blast.
Full result
Winner: Kiwi De Cotte (FR) at SP 13/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Kiwi de Cotte Fox #3 7/2
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2
Ernest Gray 9/2
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3
Parikarma 9/1
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4
Lowlands Fox #2 7/2
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5
Belvedere Blast Fox #1 3/1
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6
Ballintubber Boy 6/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3