← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Betway Grey Horse Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Havana Blue
SPECULATIVE Advised 9/4 SP 6/4F Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Havana Blue (SR 85, 9/4) is comfortably the highest-rated horse in this field by a margin of 9 points over Archduke Ferdinand, and the market has hammered it in 26% from its opening price — the strongest steam in the race. The form string 654222 shows consistent placed efforts and a horse in a rhythm (only 8 days since last run), while Course:W1P2 at Newmarket July confirms genuine affinity for the track. The 9-12 weight is the joint heaviest burden alongside Maelstrom, but at SR 85 in a Class 4 sprint, this horse has a clear ability edge that absorbs the weight penalty — and Julie Camacho's yard has two runners here, with Havana Blue clearly the stable's number-one booking given Ryan Sexton vs Clifford Lee. DistFit:- is the principal concern at 6f, but the market confidence overrides that reservation. Each-way alternative: Archduke Ferdinand. Main danger: Archduke Ferdinand — Archduke Ferdinand (SR 76, 5/1) posted a '1' last time out, carries only 9-11, has a confirmed GoingFit:+ on today's good-to-firm ground, and at 5/1 represents the best-priced alternative with recent winning form at this class.
Full result
Winner: Havana Blue (GB) at SP 6/4F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Havana Blue Fox #1 9/4
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2
Archduke Ferdinand Fox #2 5/1
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3
Act Of Violence 17/2
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4
Secret Guest 15/2
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5
Maelstrom Fox #3 10/1
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6
Strike 7/1
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7
First Folio Fox #4 17/2
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8
Cayman Tai 16/1
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9
Nevasca Cinza 11/1
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10
Fancy Dancer 66/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Havana Blue 9/4 SP 6/4F 🏆 WON
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2
Archduke Ferdinand 5/1 🥈 2ND
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3
Maelstrom 17/2 5TH
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4
First Folio 8/1 7TH