Scone Palace International Horse Trials National Hunt Flat Race (Conditional & Amateur Jockeys' Race) (GBB Race)

17:15 Perth Sat 15 Aug 2026 2m0f47y Class 5 Good 4 runners

Mr Fox’s call

Downtown Nashville

SPECULATIVE Advised 11/10 Est. 45%

🥈 2ND

Mr Fox says

Downtown Nashville (SR 115, 11/10) is the clear class standout in this four-runner field, rating 15 points clear of the next best Game Shadow (SR 100) and a full 27-31 points above the bottom two. Trainer Olly Murphy operates at a 20% career strike rate from 821 runners — a strong benchmark for conditional/amateur NHF races — and jockey Lewis Saunders (14% from 66 rides) is a competent booking. Crucially, the market has shortened 7% since opening, confirming that informed money is landing on this horse at a price that already implies favouritism. The 2P-43 form string shows inconsistency, including a pull-up, but the 43 in recent runs on the flat suggests the horse is in a workable rhythm heading into a weak Class 5 contest. Each-way alternative: Game Shadow. Main danger: Game Shadow — Game Shadow (SR 100, 11/8) has drifted 17% in the market which is a concern, but at 11/8 the market still makes it the second favourite and only 78 days off a run — if Downtown Nashville's pull-up history resurfaces over this 2m trip, Game Shadow's fresher profile and second-best SR could exploit it.

Verify· #12573

Full result

Winner: Game Shadow (IRE) at SP 13/8. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

1 Game Shadow Fox #2 John C McConnell · Alex Harvey(3) 6/5
2 Downtown Nashville Fox #1 Olly Murphy · Lewis Saunders(5) 11/8
3 Dark Tide Rising Tom George · Mr Harry O'Dwyer(7) 17/2
4 Captain Mainwaring Fox #3 Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies · Miss Amber Jackson-Fennell(7) 17/2

Top 4 — how each finished

1 Downtown Nashville 11/10 🥈 2ND
2 Game Shadow 11/8 SP 13/8 🏆 WON
3 Captain Mainwaring 9/1 🏁 4TH