← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
BAR 1 Betting 'Download Our App' Mourne Handicap
Mr Fox’s call
Dark Ace
SPECULATIVE Advised 6/1 SP 7/2F Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Dark Ace (SR:93, 6/1) is one of the two joint top-rated horses but carries only 9-5, a meaningful weight advantage over Kerdos (9-8) and Sir Les Patterson (10-5). The horse has DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ — the only runner with confirmed fitness across both today's trip and going — and the market has steamed 34% in from its opening price, the sharpest move in the field by a considerable margin. The form string 113300 shows three wins from six runs but a run of 0s since; however, at 13 days since last run it is quickly back and the market clearly believes it is ready to bounce back. Running off a mark 8lb higher than its last win (MarkMv:+8) is the main reservation, but the weight-distance-going alignment and dramatic market support make it the most compelling case. Each-way alternative: Kerdos. Main danger: Kerdos — Kerdos (SR:93, 5/1) matches Dark Ace on rating, has GoingFit:+ confirmed, carries a favourable 9-8, and the winning last run (Form:968601) in blinkers shows a sharp switch in form — even though it is 5lb higher than that last win, the trainer's stable companion context and course fitness make it the most credible alternative.
Full result
Winner: Dark Ace (IRE) at SP 7/2F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Dark Ace Fox #1 9/2
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2
All The Girls 40/1
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3
Sir Les Patterson 9/2
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4
Allsortz Fox #4 8/1
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5
Cuban Grey 16/1
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6
I Bid You Ajou Fox #3 11/2
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7
Valiant Force 17/2
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8
Collective Power 6/1
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9
Kerdos Fox #2 11/2
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10
Black Forza 10/1
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11
Fox In Flight 18/1
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12
Dandyville 50/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Dark Ace 6/1 SP 7/2F 🏆 WON
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2
Kerdos 5/1 9TH
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3
I Bid You Ajou 6/1 6TH
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4
Allsortz 8/1 🏁 4TH