Irish Stallion Farms EBF Red God Handicap

16:35 Dundalk Sat 15 Aug 2026 1m2f150y Good 14 runners

Mr Fox’s call

Touch The Moon

SPECULATIVE Advised 8/1 SP 15/2 Est. 22%

🏆 WON

Mr Fox says

Touch The Moon (SR:82, 8/1) is one of the stronger SRs in the field and carries a very manageable 9-8, giving it a real weight advantage over Iron Fist (10-0) and Apercu/Genoah/Star Harbour (9-9). Crucially, it is the only runner in the field showing a significant market move — steaming in 15% from its opening price — which in a 14-runner handicap at this level is a meaningful signal that connections are expecting a performance. Trainer William Durkan runs at a 13% strike rate from just 121 runners, suggesting a focused, selective operation that doesn't fire for fun, and Chris Hayes (11%, 355 runners) is a reliable booking. The recent form of 8-1248 shows a win and placed efforts mixed with less competitive outings, consistent with a horse that can run well fresh (15 days since last run) when the right race presents itself. Each-way alternative: Iron Fist. Main danger: Iron Fist — Iron Fist (SR:84, the field's joint-highest rating, 13/2) has confirmed DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ — the only runner ticking both boxes definitively — and Shane Foley is a stronger jockey booking than most in this field, though the top-weight of 10-0 and a mark 11lb above last win are real concerns.

Verify· #12541

Full result

Winner: Touch The Moon (IRE) at SP 15/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.