← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Morris DIY Rated Race
Mr Fox’s call
Rodeo Blues
SPECULATIVE Advised 3/1 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Rodeo Blues (SR 75, 3/1) is the highest-rated runner in the field and arrives on a sharp recent form line of 046115 — three consecutive placings or wins culminating in a win last time out, just 16 days ago, suggesting peak condition. JPO'Brien's yard operates at a 16% strike rate from 1,560 runners, the strongest training operation in this field, and the light weight of 10-1 is an asset in what is a competitive 8-runner rated race. The MarkMv:+10 is a concern — running off a mark 10lb higher than the last win — but in the context of the SR gap (75 versus 72 for the next-best Maxminelli, and 68-69 for the midfield), and the recent winning form, Rodeo Blues retains enough class headroom to absorb it. Each-way alternative: A Pretty Penny. Main danger: A Pretty Penny — A Pretty Penny (SR 69, 7/1) has steamed in 27% in the market — the sharpest move in the field — carries a favourable low weight of 9-7, shows course form (W0P1 at Tramore), and the consistent 551542 form line suggests a horse that finds a way to be involved; the market money here is hard to ignore.
Full result
Winner: A Pretty Penny (IRE) at SP 9/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
A Pretty Penny Fox #2 11/2
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2
Love Orchid 16/1
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3
Sunrush Fox #4 4/1
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4
Maxminelli Fox #3 7/2
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5
Rodeo Blues Fox #1 2/1
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6
Mare Crisium 18/1
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7
Tickle The Cat 18/1
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8
Tanzanite Diamond 9/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Rodeo Blues 3/1 5TH
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2
A Pretty Penny 7/1 SP 9/2 🏆 WON
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3
Maxminelli 10/3 🏁 4TH
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4
Sunrush 3/1 🥉 3RD