← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Strand Inn Dunmore East Handicap
Mr Fox’s call
Stepdance
SPECULATIVE Advised 5/2 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Stepdance (SR 54, 5/2) is the standout on multiple converging signals. Proven at today's distance and going (DistFit:+ GoingFit:+) — the only runner in the field with both boxes ticked — and the form string 111-90 shows three consecutive wins before a brief dip, suggesting a horse capable of stringing wins together. The market has moved sharply in its favour (Mkt:in14%), meaning informed money is arriving, and Henry De Bromhead's 14% strike rate from over 1,000 runners is the strongest training operation in the field. The +2 mark rise is negligible given the distance and going suitability advantage. Running off 10-4, the weight is manageable given the SR edge and DistFit/GoingFit superiority over the rest. Each-way alternative: Duleek Street. Main danger: Limestone Red — Limestone Red carries the field's highest SR at 58 and has the lightest competitive weight at 9-6, and despite the going concern and market drift, the raw ability advantage could assert over 1m4f if the ground rides on the better end of good.
Full result
Winner: Preparations (IRE) at SP 4/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Preparations Fox #3 4/1
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2
Nathema 22/1
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3
Limestone Red Fox #2 6/1
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4
Stepdance Fox #1 3/1
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5
Tassarolo 11/2
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6
Miss Australie 8/1
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7
Go Flo Jo 17/2
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8
Spinning Web 17/2
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9
Mullacurry Maid 40/1
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—
Duleek Street Fox #4 14/1
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—
Metamorpheus -
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Stepdance 5/2 🏁 4TH
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2
Limestone Red 5/1 🥉 3RD
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3
Preparations 11/2 SP 4/1 🏆 WON
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4
Duleek Street 9/1