← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Perennial Freight Handicap
Mr Fox’s call
Daboya
SPECULATIVE Advised 9/2 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Daboya (SR:84, 9/2) is one of the two joint-highest rated runners and has the standout advantage of proven course form (W1P1 at Tramore) combined with a confirmed GoingFit:+ on today's good ground. The form string 055118 shows a recent win (rightmost digit 8 is the last run — actually reading right-to-left: last run=8, prior=1, prior=1, showing a sharp upswing in form) with back-to-back wins in the sequence before the latest run. Carrying 10-4 is a weight concern, but at SR:84 it leads the field alongside Merlin The Wizard, and the trainer R Donohoe only fields runners when primed — a 3-day turnaround with blinkers applied suggests the yard is attacking this with intent. No horse in the field has both course familiarity and going confirmation to the same degree. Each-way alternative: Merlin The Wizard. Main danger: Merlin The Wizard — Merlin The Wizard matches Daboya at SR:84, carries 3lb less (10-1 vs 10-4), and has steamed in 17% in the market — the strongest market move in the field — suggesting informed confidence, even if distance and going fit are unconfirmed.
Full result
Winner: Rakki (GB) at SP 7/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Rakki 3/1
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2
Daboya Fox #1 5/1
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3
Churchwarden Fox #3 11/4
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4
Berto Ramirez Fox #4 13/2
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5
Merlin The Wizard Fox #2 11/2
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6
Marmeladova 17/2
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7
Expound 12/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Daboya 9/2 🥈 2ND
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2
Merlin The Wizard 13/2 5TH
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3
Churchwarden 4/1 🥉 3RD
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4
Berto Ramirez 5/1 🏁 4TH