← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Grace & Dotty Maiden Stakes (Div I) (GBB Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Poison Arrow
SPECULATIVE Advised 5/2 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Poison Arrow (SR:153, 5/2) has steamed in 20% since opening, signalling clear market confidence in a race where most rivals are drifting. At SR:153 it sits just below the two joint-highest-rated runners but carries identical weight (9-7) and has race experience (form 5-) versus the complete unknowns of Iron Dome and Persian Gate. The 342-day absence is a concern, but Richard Spencer's 16% yard strike rate and the strong market move suggest the yard is confident the horse has returned in good order. The class rise (↑1) is noted but this is a maiden, so all runners are effectively on a level footing, and Poison Arrow's SR edge over the field's lower tier is meaningful. Each-way alternative: Storm Force. Main danger: Storm Force — Storm Force shares SR:154 (joint-highest in the field) with Space Party, has James Doyle (18% career strike rate, the strongest jockey booking on the card) aboard, and its single form figure of 3 on debut suggests untapped improvement at 9/4.
Full result
Winner: Storm Force (IRE) at SP 2/1J. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Storm Force Fox #3 3/1
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2
Poison Arrow Fox #1 15/8
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3
Space Party Fox #2 15/8
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4
Iron Dome 15/2
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5
Persian Gate 18/1
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6
Extended Credit 16/1
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7
Atomik 125/1
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8
Cosmic Bond 250/1
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9
Blazing Gaden 250/1
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10
I Can Dream 150/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Poison Arrow 5/2 🥈 2ND
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2
Space Party 9/4 🥉 3RD
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3
Storm Force 9/4 SP 2/1J 🏆 WON