← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Irish Stallion Farms EBF Nursery Handicap (Birdcatcher Series)
Mr Fox’s call
Shesthedevil
SPECULATIVE Advised 15/2 Est. 26%
Mr Fox says
Shesthedevil (SR:73, 15/2) is the only runner in the field with confirmed going fit (GoingFit:+) on today's good ground AND confirmed distance fit (DistFit:+) over 6f — a rare double-tick in a field where most rivals are flagged GoingFit:- or GoingFit:?. The market has shortened 14% since opening, signalling informed money coming in despite the price staying near double figures. Her form reads 8-7-1-6 right-to-left, meaning her last completed run was a win, which is the most recent evidence of ability at this level. Patrick Magee's 10% strike rate is modest but the jockey booking (Jack Kearney) is consistent, and the combination of going/distance suitability in a field largely lacking both is a meaningful edge. Each-way alternative: Mr Montauk. Main danger: Mr Montauk — Mr Montauk (SR:78, 11/4) is the joint-top rated alongside I Ready and Banks Of The Boyne, carries the lightest weight in the field at 8-8, is trained by the yard with the highest overall strike rate here (Joseph O'Brien, 15%), and his last-run second suggests he is bang in form — GoingFit:- is the one concern but light weight on good ground reduces that penalty considerably.
Full result
Winner: Howlin Wolf (IRE) at SP 10/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Howlin Wolf 9/1
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2
I Ready Fox #3 4/1
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3
Mr Montauk Fox #2 7/2
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4
Banks Of The Boyne Fox #4 4/1
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5
Alrashdeyah 17/2
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6
Shesthedevil Fox #1 5/1
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7
High Morals 10/1
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8
Celestial Crown 10/1
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Away And Gone -
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Shesthedevil 15/2 6TH
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2
Mr Montauk 11/4 🥉 3RD
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3
I Ready 13/2 🥈 2ND
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4
Banks Of The Boyne 7/2 🏁 4TH