← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
William Hill Irish EBF Juvenile Sprint Stakes (Listed)
Mr Fox’s call
Armor Supreme
SPECULATIVE Advised 5/2 SP 13/8F Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Armor Supreme (SR:112, 5/2) is the highest-rated horse in the field by a clear margin — 7 points above Concorde Landed and 14 above Grayrobin — and the market has steamed 24% to confirm confidence from the yard. DistFit:+ confirms proven ability at 5f, and a form line of 1-2-9 shows this is a horse that has won at the level and the 9 is forgiven as a single poor run. While the Diego Dias yard has a modest 5% strike rate, Rossa Ryan (16%, 1416 rides) is clearly the yard's number-one jockey booking ahead of Diego Lima on Brazilian Diva and Gavin Ryan on The Baddie — a significant signal in a stable with three runners. At 5/2 the price reflects genuine market conviction. Each-way alternative: Concorde Landed. Main danger: Concorde Landed — Concorde Landed (SR:105, 5/2) is co-favourite, trained by the in-form P Twomey yard (24% strike rate), and a form line of 1-4 over just two runs suggests a progressive juvenile who may have more to offer — the headgear addition (h) could sharpen focus on the drop back to 5f.
Full result
Winner: Armor Supreme (IRE) at SP 13/8F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Armor Supreme Fox #1 7/4
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2
Grayrobin Fox #3 15/2
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3
New Bond Street Fox #4 7/2
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4
Star Prospect 18/1
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5
Arrowstock 50/1
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6
Brazilian Diva 11/1
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7
April Mist 28/1
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8
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9
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10
Stellar Path 250/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3
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4