← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Chapman Milestones Celebration, Thank You NHS Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Good Karma
SPECULATIVE Advised 9/2 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Good Karma (SR:73, 9/2) is the highest-rated horse in the field and carries a manageable 9-10, giving it a clear ability edge. Crucially, it is the only runner combining DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ — proven to handle both this trip and good ground — while its recent form string 274123 shows a win last time out at the same class level (ClassMv:=). The market has shortened 8% since opening, confirming money is coming for it, and a prior place at Catterick (Course:W0P1) adds course familiarity. The trainer's 8% strike rate from a small yard is modest, but the jockey booking and market confidence back the selection. Each-way alternative: Miss Rainbow. Main danger: Miss Rainbow — Miss Rainbow (SR:72, 11/2) is the second-highest rated runner, shares DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+, has strong course form (W1P3 at Catterick), and her recent form 103341 includes a last-time-out win — the drift of 10% is concerning but may simply reflect market preference for Good Karma rather than a fundamental negative.
Full result
Winner: Quercus (IRE) at SP 12/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Quercus 12/1
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2
Daytona Lady 11/1
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3
Edmond Halley Fox #4 11/4
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4
Good Karma Fox #1 5/1
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5
One Of Our Own 14/1
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6
Papa Don't Preach 6/1
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7
Barmyblade Fox #3 8/1
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8
Miss Rainbow Fox #2 11/2
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9
Jm Jhingree 12/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3
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4