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16:15 Catterick Mon 17 Aug 2026 0m5f0y Class 5 Good 11 runners

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Mr Fox’s call

Staniel Cay silks

Staniel Cay

SPECULATIVE Advised 4/1 Est. 28%

🏁 4TH

Mr Fox says

Staniel Cay (SR:75, 4/1) is the top-rated horse in this Class 5 sprint by a clear margin — 5 points clear of the next best — and carries a very manageable 9-8, the fourth-lightest weight in the field. The form string 4-5413 shows a last-run third followed by a win, suggesting a horse building toward peak condition, and trainer Grant Tuer (14% strike rate, 93 runners) and jockey Oisin Orr (14% strike rate, 706 runners) represent the strongest combined connections stats in the race. At 4/1 with no adverse market drift, the money is broadly comfortable here, and at age 3 stepping into a Class 5 handicap off a competitive mark, there is natural progression still to come. Each-way alternative: Our Absent Friends. Main danger: Our Absent Friends — Our Absent Friends (SR:70, 11/2) has steamed 18% in the market, holds a course record of W1P2, David Allan is a respected northern jockey, and trainer Tristan Davidson posts a solid 18% strike rate — those converging signals on a horse only 3 days off its last run suggest connections are confident despite the poor GoingFit flag.

Verify· #12847

Full result

Winner: Our Absent Friends (IRE) at SP 7/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

  1. 1 Our Absent Friends silks Our Absent Friends Fox #2 Tristan Davidson · David Allan 7/2
  2. 2 Canaria Queen silks Canaria Queen Tim Easterby · Duran Fentiman 8/1
  3. 3 Cheerleader silks Cheerleader Tina Jackson · Andrew Mullen 10/1
  4. 4 Staniel Cay silks Staniel Cay Fox #1 Grant Tuer · Oisin Orr 9/2
  5. 5 Miss Brazen silks Miss Brazen Michael & David Easterby · Billy Garritty 18/1
  6. 6 Betweenthesticks silks Betweenthesticks Ruth Carr · James Sullivan 15/2
  7. 7 Irish Dancer silks Irish Dancer Fox #4 Declan Carroll · Zak Wheatley 12/1
  8. 8 Beaumadier silks Beaumadier Mark Loughnane · Hope Regan(7) 8/1
  9. 9 Emperor's Son silks Emperor's Son Samantha & Jacqueline Coward · Joanna Mason 14/1
  10. 10 Tees Aggregates silks Tees Aggregates Fox #3 Adrian Nicholls · Jack Garritty 5/1
  11. 11 Invincible Crown silks Invincible Crown Ruth Carr · Tom Eaves 25/1

Top 4 — how each finished

  1. 1 Staniel Cay silks Staniel Cay 4/1 🏁 4TH
  2. 2 Our Absent Friends silks Our Absent Friends 11/2 SP 7/2 🏆 WON
  3. 3 Tees Aggregates silks Tees Aggregates 7/1 10TH
  4. 4 Irish Dancer silks Irish Dancer 17/2 7TH