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Free Race Replays On attheraces.com Fillies' Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Egotistical
MEDIUM Advised 11/8 Est. 42%
Mr Fox says
Egotistical (SR:87, 11/8) is the class standout in this five-runner field by a clear margin — 9 points above the next-best Veil Of Clouds and 17+ above the remainder. The decisive signal is the market move: a 26% shortening to joint-favourite from Roger Varian's yard (19% strike rate, 657 runners — a high-volume, high-quality operation) is not noise, it is intent. The horse holds a confirmed DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ at today's 6f trip on Good ground, and is running off a mark 1lb lower than its last win (MarkMv:-1), meaning the handicapper has handed it a marginal favour. Form reading right-to-left shows 4-7-1-3-2 — the recent 1 then 3-2 sequence is the form of a horse in consistent, competitive shape at this class level. Each-way alternative: Veil Of Clouds. Main danger: Veil Of Clouds — Veil Of Clouds (SR:78, 11/8) holds a confirmed DistFit:+ at this trip from a 20%-strike-rate yard, carries the same weight as Egotistical, and at joint-favourite pricing the market clearly respects it — the 7% drift is modest and may simply reflect money arriving for Egotistical rather than genuine negative information about this runner.
Full result
Winner: Veil Of Clouds (GB) at SP 4/7F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Veil Of Clouds Fox #2 10/11
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2
Egotistical Fox #1 7/4
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3
Dark Brunette Fox #3 8/1
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4
Bessie Wallis 50/1
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5
Tronido 12/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3