← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Cavani Sprint In Style Nursery Handicap Stakes (Div I)
Mr Fox’s call
Wondervision
SPECULATIVE Advised 7/2 SP 4/1C Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Wondervision (SR:79, 7/2, Wgt:9-3) is the highest-rated horse in this nursery field and drops two class tiers, giving it a clear ability edge over a modest field where no rival exceeds SR:76. The consistent 3-3 form line suggests a horse that has been running well without winning but has now been placed in a competitive environment where the class drop should prove decisive. Jack Channon's 14% strike rate with George Bass booking at 10% is workmanlike but the key factor is the SR advantage combined with the lightest-competitive weight in the race — 9-3 against rivals with similar or higher weights and lower ability scores. At 7/2 the market offers fair value for the standout-rated horse dropping significantly in class. Each-way alternative: Sydney Grace. Main danger: Nascent Star — Nascent Star (SR:72, 7/1) has steamed in 21% in the market — the strongest Mkt:in move in the field — and a recent runner-up finish in its 4402 form line shows it is moving in the right direction, making it the most credible market-backed threat despite stepping up one class tier.
Full result
Winner: Wondervision (IRE) at SP 4/1C. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Wondervision Fox #1 9/2
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2
Sydney Grace Fox #2 7/2
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3
Royal Titan 12/1
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4
Green Titan Fox #4 5/2
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5
Sable Island 33/1
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6
Horndean 13/2
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7
Menhaal 10/1
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8
Margaret's Pearl 40/1
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9
Nascent Star Fox #3 13/2
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10
Lola 66/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3
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4