← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Cavani Sprint In Style Nursery Handicap Stakes (Div II)
Mr Fox’s call
Sea Palace
SPECULATIVE Advised 5/2 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Sea Palace (SR:76, 5/2) is the highest-rated runner and carries just 9-9 — level with Angel Ang but with a clear SR superiority over the field. The form reading of 33 (two consecutive thirds) shows consistent placed form in what are likely stronger races given the ClassMv:↓1 drop into this Class 5 contest, meaning improvement is expected at this reduced level. Trainer Ollie Sangster runs at a respectable 13% strike rate and jockey Stevie Donohoe is a proven AW specialist. While DistFit and GoingFit are both unknown, the drop in class is the critical differentiator here — a horse finishing third twice at higher level should dominate this grade. Each-way alternative: Cailin Aine. Main danger: Seed Ya Later — Seed Ya Later (SR:78, 11/2) is actually the highest SR in the field by a narrow margin over Cailin Aine, has steamed in 16% in the market with headgear added (hood), and though recent form reads 213673 — mixed — the market money arriving alongside the gear change suggests connections expect a bounce-back at this unchanged class level.
Full result
Winner: Trust Yourself (IRE) at SP 4/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
-
1
Trust Yourself 10/1
-
2
Rex Regum Fox #4 3/1
-
3
Invincible Isaac 6/1
-
4
Seed Ya Later Fox #3 7/1
-
5
Angel Ang 14/1
-
6
Greek Street 14/1
-
7
Unbeatable Fame 33/1
-
8
Cailin Aine Fox #2 6/1
-
—
Sea Palace Fox #1 3/1
-
—
Zohar 28/1
Top 4 — how each finished
-
1
Sea Palace 5/2
-
2
Cailin Aine 5/1 8TH
-
3
Seed Ya Later 11/2 🏁 4TH
-
4
Rex Regum 4/1 🥈 2ND