← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Trade Centre Uk Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Evie Ross
SPECULATIVE Advised 9/2 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Evie Ross (SR:76, 9/2) is dropping a class tier with a strong 24% market shortening — the most significant steaming move in this field — which in a modest Class 5 seven-runner handicap is a genuine signal. Clive Cox (15% strike rate) and Rossa Ryan (16%) are a competent pairing, and the visor applied suggests connections are targeting this race seriously. Course form of W1P1 at Chepstow and a confirmed GoingFit:+ on good-to-firm underpin the case, and the class drop from the 955 form string is entirely logical given those runs came in tougher company. The main caveat is DistFit:? — unproven at 7f — but the market appears unconcerned. Each-way alternative: Von Trotter. Main danger: Von Trotter — Von Trotter (SR:79, the highest in the field, 3/1) carries the lightest competitive weight at 9-2 with a last-time-out win and a 7lb mark rise that still leaves him on a workable handicap mark, and even a moderate drift of 6% cannot fully offset the raw SR advantage and the Easterby yard's solid competence with progressive three-year-olds.
Full result
Winner: Too Much Trevor (GB) at SP 9/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Too Much Trevor 7/1
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2
Von Trotter Fox #2 3/1
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3
Espona Bay Fox #3 9/2
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4
Honky Tonk Girl 7/1
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5
Evie Ross Fox #1 4/1
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6
Name The Day 28/1
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7
Rogue Exile 7/2
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3