← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Saxon Automobiles Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Arnaz
SPECULATIVE Advised 13/8 SP 6/5F Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Arnaz (SR 70, 13/8) is the class leader in this field by a clear margin and has tightened 29% in the market — the most significant steam of any runner. Carrying just 8-13, the lightest weight among the leading contenders, gives a real pounds advantage over Connie's Rose (9-8) and Savannah Smiles (9-9). Billy Loughnane (19% strike rate from 1,746 rides) is an elite jockey booking and his last-time-out win at this class confirms peak form. The DistFit:- flag is a mild concern over 6f16y given the horse's record, but the SR advantage plus market confidence and top jockey engagement outweigh it in a Class 6 field where the opposition is largely workmanlike. Each-way alternative: Connie's Rose. Main danger: Connie's Rose — Connie's Rose (SR 68, 11/2) has steamed in 38% in the market, is the Grace Harris yard's #1 with Rossa Ryan booked (16% strike rate), holds DistFit:+ and Course:W1P11 form at Chepstow, and a -2lb mark move makes this a well-placed handicap attempt.
Full result
Winner: Arnaz (GB) at SP 6/5F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Arnaz Fox #1 5/4
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2
Some Nightmare Fox #3 11/1
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3
Connie's Rose Fox #2 11/2
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4
Marisitta 17/2
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5
Zoulu Warrior 20/1
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6
Calafrio Fox #4 13/2
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7
Le Beau Garcon 14/1
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8
Vape 22/1
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9
Savannah Smiles 16/1
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10
Benavente 25/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Arnaz 13/8 SP 6/5F 🏆 WON
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2
Connie's Rose 11/2 🥉 3RD
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3
Some Nightmare 10/1 🥈 2ND
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4
Calafrio 11/2 6TH