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14:30 Lingfield (AW) Tue 18 Aug 2026 1m7f169y Class 5 Good 8 runners

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Mr Fox’s call

Circuit Breaker silks

Circuit Breaker

SPECULATIVE Advised 13/8 Est. 34%

🏁 4TH

Mr Fox says

Circuit Breaker (SR:76, 13/8) is the clear SR leader in this modest Class 5 field and is proven at today's 1m7f169y trip (DistFit:+), which matters enormously at this stamina-testing distance. The form string -26364 shows consistent competitive finishing and the horse carries 11-2 as top-weight but holds a significant SR advantage — 9 points over Diamond Bay and 10+ over the rest — which more than offsets the weight burden in this company. Jonjo & A.J. O'Neill at 13% strike rate is the strongest training operation in the field, and the 64-day absence is manageable for a horse with a consistent profile. The moderate GoingFit:~ on AW Good is a mild flag but not a dealbreaker given the distance fitness edge. Each-way alternative: Further Measure. Main danger: Diamond Bay — Diamond Bay (SR:75, 3/1) is only 1 SR point below Circuit Breaker, carries 4lb less (10-12 vs 11-2), has a jockey on a remarkable 40% strike rate from 30 rides, and the form string 067542 shows an improving trajectory — the market's second-shortest price reflects genuine residual danger despite GoingFit:- and unproven trip (DistFit:?).

Verify· #12945

Full result

Winner: Diamond Bay (GB) at SP 9/4. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

  1. 1 Diamond Bay silks Diamond Bay Fox #2 Tom Ward · Mr Henry Callan 3/1
  2. 2 Benvoy silks Benvoy Jo Davis · Miss Brodie Hampson 14/1
  3. 3 Beaune silks Beaune Bernard Llewellyn · Miss Jessica Llewellyn(5) 11/1
  4. 4 Circuit Breaker silks Circuit Breaker Fox #1 Jonjo & A.J. O'Neill · Mr Simon Walker 5/4
  5. 5 Flamingo Rose silks Flamingo Rose Michael Wigham · Mr Morgan Tidman(7) 16/1
  6. 6 Further Measure silks Further Measure Fox #3 Mike Murphy · Mrs Charlotte Owen(7) 10/1
  7. 7 Roland Garros silks Roland Garros Fox #4 Hayley Burton · Mr Fletcher Yarham 13/2
  8. — Wise Counsellor silks Wise Counsellor Gary & Josh Moore · Mr Hezekiah March(7) 28/1

Top 4 — how each finished

  1. 1 Circuit Breaker silks Circuit Breaker 13/8 🏁 4TH
  2. 2 Diamond Bay silks Diamond Bay 3/1 SP 9/4 🏆 WON
  3. 3 Further Measure silks Further Measure 9/1 6TH
  4. 4 Roland Garros silks Roland Garros 6/1 7TH