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Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Classified Stakes (Div II)
Mr Fox’s call
Megaphone
SPECULATIVE Advised 3/1 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Megaphone (SR:59, 3/1) holds the joint-highest SR in the field alongside Rovinia (SR:61) but ran just yesterday — that freshness concern is offset by a 25% market-in move, suggesting connections and the market are comfortable with the quick turnaround. At 3/1 the market is pricing this as a clear co-favourite and the SR edge over the rest of the field (excluding Rovinia) is meaningful at Class 6 level. The trainer Scott Dixon and jockey Christian Howarth combination is workmanlike but the late money at Lingfield AW is a hard signal to dismiss. Crown The Future (SR:58, 15/2) is the main threat given Tony Carroll's 13% strike rate and a 5lb weight advantage at 9-4, but Megaphone's stronger market move is the deciding factor. Each-way alternative: Crown The Future. Main danger: Rovinia — Rovinia holds the field's top SR at 61, has placed at Lingfield (Course:W0P1), carries a MarkMv:-3 advantage, and jockey Marco Ghiani strikes at 14% — the drift of 23% may simply reflect the market preferring Megaphone's momentum rather than any genuine weakness.
Full result
Winner: Rovinia (GB) at SP 5/6F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Rovinia Fox #2 7/4
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2
Vitalline 10/1
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3
Ruiz 40/1
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4
Chloe's Courage 9/2
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5
Crown The Future Fox #3 9/2
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6
No News 18/1
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7
Power Cut 13/2
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8
Regal Guest 12/1
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9
Dupont Circle 18/1
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Horus 28/1
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Megaphone Fox #1 3/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Megaphone 3/1
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2
Rovinia 9/4 SP 5/6F 🏆 WON
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3
Crown The Future 15/2 5TH